Wednesday, October 3, 2012

给你500块,留你子孙一身债!


我们应该对2013年财政预算案一箩箩的糖果感到开心吗?

各大语文报章在预算案被提呈后的第二天,一致地在头版罗列琳琅满目的预算案糖果项目,《星洲日报》还干脆放了一幅榴莲掉下来的漫画。我的一位外国友人看了预算案的详细报道后,瞪大双眼问道:“贵国政府真的理财有道,可以派那么多糖果,国库盈余肯定非常理想吧?”

我不好意思灭自己政府的威风,只好婉转地告诉他:“还好吧,虽然我们的国债已经累积到突破5千亿令吉,占国内生产总值的53.7巴仙,而且距离法定债务上限的55巴仙只剩咫尺之遥,可是我们的政府叫我们不用担心,一切没有问题!”

友人的双眼瞪得更大了。债务越堆越高,糖果却越派越多,的确很难叫人不瞪眼的。

5千亿的国债到底是一个怎样的概念?很多人只知道500块援助金有两个零,却搞不懂5千亿国债到底有几个零?5千亿的债务由全国29百万人分担,管你3岁还是80岁,人人得承担17千令吉的债务。

或许有人会问,今时今日,有哪个国家是不举债的?举债发展当然不是问题,问题是,我们的国债在过去6年内爆增了超过一倍。阿都拉和纳吉主政的短短几年间,我国所累积的债务竟然超越独立48年来的累积债务!

除了国债之外,家庭债务也是我国经济的另一个计时炸弹。根据国家银行的数据,我国的家庭债务主要是由房贷、车贷及私人贷款所组成。而在破产案件当中,车贷则占最高的比例。在缺乏完善公共交通系统的情况下,国人除了得向银行借贷购车,还得为了成全政府朋党的荷包而在政府高昂的汽车税下勒紧裤头过日子。数据显示,国产车在国内的售价竟然比国外的昂贵高达30巴仙!

这也正是民联在其替代预算案中建议降低车价的最大原因。降低汽车税,让人民无须把血汗钱花费在过高的车贷上,远胜过一次性的援助金派发。坊间早前盛传,为了回应民联的挑战,政府会在2013预算案中针对汽车税作出调整。可是预算案公布后,大家还是得继续当车奴。

对了,这已是连续第16年的赤字预算案了!连续16年入不敷出,依然可以豪爽地大派糖果,这种政府,真是有够爱民如子了。钱不够用的话怎么办?放心,预算超支后,政府随时可以在国会动议追加预算,要多少拿多少,反正不是第一次了。

至于如何转型经济,如何达到高收入国的目标,我也不懂,反正预算案内语焉不详。或许每年对低收入群派一次500块钱,7年后大家就会自动变成高收入群吧!

再问一次,我们应该对2013年财政预算案一箩箩的糖果感到开心吗?

19 comments:

Trevor said...

This is more like a 'budget spending planning'

Not 'budget gaining'

It is totally un-inspirational.

Anonymous said...

想留下一堆烂摊子给民联吧?

Anonymous said...

阿吉开心就好!

Anonymous said...

General election will be held in every 5 years, national budget has to be made every year to allocate expenditure and forecast of income to meet with the expenses for the year. It is the usual pratices that the government will be so kind to accomodate with all demands in the election year by money fallen or put into your hands cash or in kind in exchange of votes from the people. 2013 budget should be described as 'Santa clause' budget, the government take a serious strategy by the simplest method of giving cash to the people. From a primary children to secondary students, young adults or elderly parents, cash cash cash will be distributed. And expecting in the month of December and January next year people will have a 'fortune' by receiving cash of few thousands (inclusive bonuses). Hence market shall have cash flow in exchange of goodies they desires. This is not a healthy budget by forcing to spends. Instead the government should educate the people to earn by their efforts and ablity and reforms of sophiscated policy to suit the needs. Government continued to run in deficits just equivalent to ask people livings in borrow and debts. Absolutely wrong from points of solvent and balance of wealth planning to our young generations. Bearing in mind that tomorrow will be even tough, each and every citizen of malaysia is now in debts of RM17 thousand.

A Parent

一介草夫 said...

祸延三代,老子借钱,100年都还不清!

A Skudai voter said...

Just read from some where the potential candidate of MCA Gelang Patah ,Johor .A one time snake catcher and beehive destroyer said Pakatan budget if implemented will led the country into bankruptcy. I challenge him to answer the points brought up by Bro Leng if he has HOOD!

Anonymous said...

What about RM 100 given by Penang government ? By the same logic, Penang will bankcrupt also. Pls advise Penang government to stop it.

Anonymous said...

凌兄,不要憂天。最重要是買人心,贏大選。之後可以加車税。五十年後的責讓下一代去擔憂。我們這代己死了。

Dr Neo said...

Sin chew headline potray the budget as "durian runtuh" budget, BN ministers and politicians said it is a "rakyat friendly" budget. To me the most appropriate term is "show hand(sai lang) " budget. Najib has already bet all he has on the gambling table in order to win the next GE.

Anonymous said...

为了保住政权,哪还理得了那么多你的生死?

Anonymous said...

無良政治!

Anonymous said...

When Anwar was then Finance Minister then, asian countries achieved remarkable economic growth, including Malaysia. So we should not surprise when our budget had been always surplus by then. But after that, there was economics crisi, so our government have to pump in money to generate the economic activitis. so i advise the writer not to exaggerate the issues as if our country will be bancrupt soon. You are just sing the same tune will PR. I had head Lim Kit Siang said in the 80s that malaysia will banrprut soon, but till today it does not happen.

凌国文 said...

无名氏,

有哪一个国家的政府在破产之前会承认自己可能会破产的?

除了那个傻傻的Idris Jala。

Anonymous said...

那些整天讲国家会破产的所谓事时评论员应该看看著名经济家Paul Krugman 对欧州国家处理金融危机的评论才做批判。

凌国文 said...

一个经济学家的理论就可以合理化国债的潜在危机。真简单啊。

Anonymous said...

no matter what other ecomomist say, that is no doubts that ling kek mun is the best commentator in politic, economy, social, technology,and all other fields.

He is the best in the world, DAP should get ling kek mun to be next PM if PR won in GE13.

凌国文 said...

哈哈,除了像个斗嘴斗输了的小孩子般的赌气话,你真的想不到其他更好的方式来反驳了?

好心,成熟一点啦。



Patrick said...

国文老弟,又有条笨7送上门来给你吊。

Anonymous said...

楼上上上上的Banana,Penang是用余润来派发100令吉给滨州市民的好不好?就算是要破产,也轮不到槟城,因为在林冠英的英明政治下,由许子丹留下来的负债在短短几年内转为余润,请问会破产吗?他只是把槟城多赚的钱给回居民而已,有错?